MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fcd690d6e29f46a3ba589ae6630bf4cdead865653cdb8d2746682935effad90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $352,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $352,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 52c | 329,764$171,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158,758.14 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 250,383$120,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,184 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 12,344$6,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,017.21 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 48c | 10,088$4,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,841.44 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…ca8cbacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 8,326$4,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.4 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 8,189$3,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,930.54 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 4,849$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.66 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.55 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 49c | 3,710$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.9 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 48c | 2,719$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.84 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 40c | 2,105$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.01 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 2,093$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.5 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Under | 51c | 1,877$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.97 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 1,521$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.95 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 1,030$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.56 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Under | 75c | 809$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.16 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 48c | 804$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.92 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 37c | 708.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.44 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 78c | 394.6$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.48 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 46c | 380$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 22c | 342.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.24 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 47c | 233.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.81 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 74c | 225$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.26 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 201.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 118$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 50c | 110.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 52c | 103$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 79c | 97.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 87.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 79c | 87.65$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 79c | 78.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 79c | 78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 17c | 61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 73c | 53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 33c | 52.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…ca40backed Over | 72c | 50.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 53c | 49.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 53c | 49.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Over | 79c | 39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Over | 79c | 39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 79c | 39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 49c | 38.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Over | 79c | 38.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe241…59e1backed Under | 55c | 36.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 45c | 33.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 51c | 32.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…6872backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…fd82backed Under | 52c | 30.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…c217backed Under | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Over | 78c | 19.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over | 78c | 17.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Over | 79c | 12.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesSan Francisco Giants won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 16.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 17.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 18.5Under won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.