TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,749,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,661,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,749,474 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,052 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa235…34bbbacked Yes22c508,245$113,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113,990.552524%6 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x640d…9a4cbacked Yes22c262,909$57,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,840.061729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No77c186,650$144,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,415.6329952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Yes13c164,190$21,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,515.718521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No78c99,522$77,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,542.2724441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No78c98,589$76,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,689.539845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes14c82,640$11,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,676.88,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Yes22c80,759$17,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,767.048246.3%38 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes23c80,000$18,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,40042345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes13c75,335$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed No77c49,999$38,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,299.7717452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed No78c48,500$37,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,6703857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No77c47,259$36,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,666.974134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No78c42,722$33,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,398.799948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No78c37,111$28,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,164.397345.2%33 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes21c32,076$6,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,735.9633538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f00…73cebacked Yes13c32,060$4,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,167.815728.1%16 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed No78c28,500$22,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,27011642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked No78c28,200$21,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,203.987447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes0c27,000$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed No78c24,250$18,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3355234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No77c20,180$15,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,641.356149.2%30 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Yes12c20,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40013234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked No78c19,000$14,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1804057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes14c18,867$2,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.2679231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes22c18,182$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x969a…59ddbacked No77c18,000$13,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,071.599247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cc…be4ebacked No79c16,875$13,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,543.751464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes13c16,271$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.4815127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes13c15,385$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Yes23c15,217$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50010057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes24c14,043$3,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,374.071,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe944…650cbacked Yes5c13,979$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.5611133.3%37 W · 74 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No77c13,846$10,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,184.588845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb19…5b35backed No77c13,800$10,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,173.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes22c13,063$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90015930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc45…911fbacked Yes23c13,043$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes4c12,990$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.2326320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Yes22c11,364$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50014829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x323a…876fbacked Yes22c10,455$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30012035%42 W · 78 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes23c10,236$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,354.3919332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed No76c10,200$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9115746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c10,003$7,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.6776048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b3a…c81cbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3009839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No77c9,950$7,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,312.653,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x108e…b771backed Yes23c9,565$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2005930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes22c8,888$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.366749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c8,694$6,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.353,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No78c8,055$6,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.14075%30 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c8,000$6,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.961,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No78c7,500$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65040655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf03…1bedbacked No79c7,479$5,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.59887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Yes26c7,472$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.848723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked Yes23c7,098$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.438647.7%41 W · 45 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes11c6,711$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.0729333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes6c6,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Yes23c6,522$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009839.8%39 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No77c6,000$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.9848441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes6c5,865$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.6734122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes17c5,842$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.6465835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No77c5,800$4,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.9850243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No77c5,800$4,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.9747144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed Yes23c5,600$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28810224.5%25 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes12c5,555$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.619020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c2…b793backed Yes21c5,031$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0704139%16 W · 25 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick25cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10015150.3%76 W · 75 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x475b…02b4backed Yes13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6503557.1%20 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+67.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No77c4,800$3,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.9947643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Yes23c4,750$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.56016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No78c4,691$3,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.9197742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes14c4,620$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.712,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes13c4,615$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c3a…5678backed No78c4,600$3,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0123046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd344…6862backed Yes22c4,545$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes22c4,545$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014425.7%37 W · 107 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2a0…b16bbacked Yes22c4,545$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb4…3839backed Yes13c4,441$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.981241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed No78c4,420$3,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.3417745.8%81 W · 96 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes23c4,402$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.3813542.2%57 W · 78 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No77c4,400$3,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01244144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc20e…642abacked Yes22c4,371$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.7212345.5%56 W · 67 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4068…a98ebacked Yes23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4268…542bbacked Yes23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000219.5%2 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes4c4,325$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17321314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No79c4,324$3,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.0511963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x236a…9a00backed Yes24c4,200$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0082927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes24c4,090$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.625537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No78c3,941$3,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.0228162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e33…b360backed Yes0c3,910$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.590%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No78c3,709$2,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.9870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9182…c0f6backed No78c3,584$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce55…f9d9backed No79c3,543$2,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.12951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes23c3,457$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79513237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked No78c3,200$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.9937223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80c0…9519backed Yes13c3,077$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005420.4%11 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8630…158bbacked Yes23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69010233.3%34 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked Yes26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78010752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Yes24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9815128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.