MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3869157b5e6914f96126ea7c8d34e0f7623dd2557d2266d4616440feb93deed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Washington Nationals, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $400,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $400,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $400,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 221,778$138,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,194.39 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 33,000$12,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,210 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 30c | 30,492$9,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,162.7 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 27,313$10,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,433.91 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 25,739$9,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,677.23 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 25,000$9,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,498 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 14,000$5,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,180 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 12,981$4,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,802.93 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 12,500$4,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,625 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 12,500$4,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,625 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 12,344$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,567.44 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 17c | 11,420$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.78 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Washington Nationals | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Washington Nationals | 8c | 9,895$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 8,164$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.53 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 6,069$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.03 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 21c | 5,218$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.96 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 5,204$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.19 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 4,054$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Washington Nationals | 0c | 3,900$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 3,788$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.2 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Washington Nationals | 18c | 3,559$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.8 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 3,115$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.89 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 2,949$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.56 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 2,548$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.39 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 2,547$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 2,257$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.75 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 2,189$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.75 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Washington Nationals | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Washington Nationals | 2c | 1,733$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Washington Nationals | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,586$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.67 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 1,535$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.33 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,473$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.74 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 1,465$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.85 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 1,463$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.4 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston Red Sox | 70c | 1,337$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.69 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Washington Nationals | 14c | 1,142$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.39 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,132$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Washington Nationals | 10c | 960$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 933.32$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.33 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 900$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 883.67$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.79 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals | 22c | 875.13$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.09 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 770.29$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.55 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 753$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.14 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 725$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.75 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ee…a1ffbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 699.95$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…38e5backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 699.5$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.81 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 659.93$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.77 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked Washington Nationals | 5c | 562.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 540.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Nationals | 13c | 522.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 501.67$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.31 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Washington Nationals | 15c | 447.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 439.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.78 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 438.08$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.47 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 433.37$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.49 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Washington Nationals | 6c | 417.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 373.31$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.04 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 367.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.79 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 357.51$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Boston Red Sox | 69c | 353$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.35 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Boston Red Sox | 71c | 329.61$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 319.44$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…6706backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 301.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 295$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Washington Nationals | 7c | 294.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Washington Nationals | 10c | 291.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 290.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14e…3315backed Washington Nationals | 12c | 290.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Washington Nationals | 9c | 287.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 239.62$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.12 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 235.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.08 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 232$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 220$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 216.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Washington Nationals | 22c | 215$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 209$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Nationals | 17c | 202.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Washington Nationals | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 13.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.