WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc56e6d4f4672df5062225aa5e2a21ef5870cf2d1e3375c2cf81f2a05f7cdabea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Connecticut Sun | 1c | 22,000$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.96 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Connecticut Sun | 1c | 14,403$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.57 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a9…e073backed Connecticut Sun | 14c | 14,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Connecticut Sun | 13c | 6,071$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.26 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Connecticut Sun | 7c | 5,108$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Connecticut Sun | 1c | 3,169$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Connecticut Sun | 12c | 2,850$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Connecticut Sun | 6c | 2,125$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.93 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Connecticut Sun | 14c | 2,054$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.62 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Connecticut Sun | 9c | 2,013$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.45 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Connecticut Sun | 11c | 1,378$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.19 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Connecticut Sun | 9c | 1,072$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -83%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Connecticut Sun | 14c | 944.66$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.51 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Connecticut Sun | 12c | 908.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Connecticut Sun | 15c | 782.04$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.26 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Connecticut Sun | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Connecticut Sun | 12c | 680.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Connecticut Sun | 12c | 658.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Connecticut Sun | 13c | 650$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…bb68backed Connecticut Sun | 9c | 609.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15dd…11dbbacked Connecticut Sun | 15c | 589.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Connecticut Sun | 11c | 540$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Connecticut Sun | 12c | 527.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Connecticut Sun | 12c | 516.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Connecticut Sun | 16c | 511.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Connecticut Sun | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Connecticut Sun | 16c | 399.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Connecticut Sun | 15c | 382.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…b5c0backed Connecticut Sun | 13c | 373.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b4…efaebacked Connecticut Sun | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…a1c7backed Connecticut Sun | 6c | 312.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Connecticut Sun | 13c | 311.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…4284backed Connecticut Sun | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34bb…f3e4backed Connecticut Sun | 9c | 286.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…e4b0backed Connecticut Sun | 19c | 284.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf182…112bbacked Connecticut Sun | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 11c | 220.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Connecticut Sun | 8c | 215.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Connecticut Sun | 19c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Connecticut Sun | 10c | 191.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Connecticut Sun | 12c | 188$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Connecticut Sun | 12c | 188$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Connecticut Sun | 12c | 186.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Connecticut Sun | 18c | 165.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a63…ceabbacked Connecticut Sun | 22c | 159.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Connecticut Sun | 9c | 144.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Connecticut Sun | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…8597backed Connecticut Sun | 19c | 131.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Connecticut Sun | 11c | 124$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Connecticut Sun | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Connecticut Sun | 12c | 96.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Connecticut Sun | 12c | 90.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Connecticut Sun | 13c | 88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Connecticut Sun | 15c | 82.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83f9…d399backed Connecticut Sun | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Connecticut Sun | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe465…7f38backed Connecticut Sun | 20c | 73.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…3506backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 32.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…e7ccbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 32.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed New York Liberty | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1360…6cb6backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 27.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…513dbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 27.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed New York Liberty | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496d…308cbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…72d8backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked New York Liberty | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sunthis page
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 161.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 162.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-14.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.