WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa92b90ca6c76e3faec2bbdc0eb96b3041aa54c3d10382fbe226623b6013b0aa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc594…773fbacked Under | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 3,950$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.43 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Under | 57c | 3,555$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.16 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 50c | 2,509$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.32 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over | 50c | 2,288$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.02 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,975$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.27 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 31c | 1,900$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.08 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Under | 51c | 631.37$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 69c | 600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…ddf8backed Over | 52c | 461.54$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 16c | 334.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.3 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 46c | 305.9$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.85 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 54c | 290.53$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.89 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 26c | 159.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 50c | 142.74$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 142.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 69c | 114.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…e8bcbacked Under | 51c | 98.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 50c | 79.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 49c | 79.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 49c | 78.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 63c | 46.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…d175backed Under | 79c | 22.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 163.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut SunNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 161.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 162.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-14.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.