WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1f61927a15310c2cf97ee615d8a4a701da8ac71ed6334d8dd0d5aa08d9f6a0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof New York Liberty, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed New York Liberty | 56c | 10,513$5,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,845.22 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 9,295$4,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,833.59 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Connecticut Sun | 44c | 7,994$3,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,437.35 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 6,531$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.61 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed New York Liberty | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.92 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 2,461$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.59 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty | 51c | 2,061$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.35 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty | 51c | 1,433$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.73 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed New York Liberty | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty | 50c | 913.09$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.21 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed New York Liberty | 50c | 600.06$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.31 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked New York Liberty | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed New York Liberty | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 588$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 484$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.91 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 472$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Connecticut Sun | 45c | 413.2$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.32 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed New York Liberty | 52c | 301.73$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.9 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed New York Liberty | 48c | 241.21$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 224.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed New York Liberty | 51c | 158.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked New York Liberty | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 140.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 107.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 48c | 105.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…ee61backed New York Liberty | 49c | 95.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 61.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked New York Liberty | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa110…9b09backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 55c | 40.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed New York Liberty | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed New York Liberty | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed New York Liberty | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed New York Liberty | 55c | 31.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed New York Liberty | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked New York Liberty | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…650abacked New York Liberty | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x123e…eed4backed New York Liberty | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…5f41backed New York Liberty | 41c | 24.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 21.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut SunNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 161.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 162.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-14.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.