WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 161.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6535373d645d512cb6eace6a0375ff8524a790edaaedb6bc0411cc6d39293815
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 880.06$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.73 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa076…2641backed Under | 45c | 573.33$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 53c | 522.19$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.15 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 385.47$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.48 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…4284backed Over | 26c | 299.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 46c | 275$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 253.36$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 43c | 237.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 208.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.23 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 21c | 170.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.89 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 169.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…773fbacked Under | 46c | 124.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 48c | 92.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 35c | 77.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 63c | 56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 55.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 53c | 52.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Over | 59c | 50.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 45c | 49.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…bb1abacked Under | 74c | 45.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…8948backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 54c | 35.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1788…aa80backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 67c | 34.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…65bbbacked Over | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 161.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut SunNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 162.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-14.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.