WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86f12d69d26b3a431357e69d783099e692298ce83fb6b6d2aa9805e384c01ae3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof New York Liberty, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed New York Liberty | 48c | 5,201$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.34 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Connecticut Sun | 56c | 4,605$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.98 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed New York Liberty | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 3,317$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.53 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 26c | 1,478$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.31 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 1,265$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.15 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed New York Liberty | 40c | 980$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 737.14$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.94 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Connecticut Sun | 65c | 480$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…bb1abacked Connecticut Sun | 60c | 202.33$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Liberty | 47c | 50.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Connecticut Sun | 57c | 33.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed New York Liberty | 43c | 28.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…5c74backed New York Liberty | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 20.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-14.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut SunNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 161.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 162.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.