TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Connecticut Sunof New York Liberty, Connecticut Sun
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,396 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun46c9,117$4,150 inWon+$4,9671,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed New York Liberty54c5,233$2,800 inLost-$2,80023049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed New York Liberty49c4,450$2,197 inLost-$2,196.899354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun56c1,866$1,051 inWon+$814.571,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked New York Liberty56c1,786$1,000 inLost-$1,00022967.7%155 W · 74 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Connecticut Sun55c1,264$698 inWon+$566.6212355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Connecticut Sun60c1,010$606 inWon+$404.114450.7%73 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed New York Liberty45c915.5$409 inLost-$408.8211250%56 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun44c873.38$384 inWon+$489.0983748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Connecticut Sun45c854.5$385 inWon+$469.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed New York Liberty35c830.57$291 inLost-$291.2734918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Connecticut Sun49c567.87$277 inWon+$290.4113538.5%52 W · 83 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked New York Liberty56c357.14$200 inLost-$2002572%18 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Connecticut Sun46c246.34$112 inWon+$134.1513143.5%57 W · 74 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed New York Liberty53c240$127 inLost-$127.216745.5%76 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Connecticut Sun44c215.68$95 inWon+$120.7892248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Connecticut Sun45c111.11$50 inWon+$61.114854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Connecticut Sun47c110.01$52 inWon+$58.37759.7%46 W · 31 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked New York Liberty50c100$50 inLost-$5010249%50 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked New York Liberty56c71.39$40 inLost-$39.9813346.6%62 W · 71 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x35c9…bc74backed New York Liberty56c53.57$30 inLost-$3012651.6%65 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed New York Liberty46c50$23 inLost-$2361547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked New York Liberty53c50$26 inLost-$26.511840.7%48 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed New York Liberty56c48.5$27 inLost-$27.161758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Connecticut Sun45c41.33$19 inWon+$22.7332948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked New York Liberty52c40.04$21 inLost-$20.8220642.7%88 W · 118 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb482…e138backed New York Liberty41c36.59$15 inLost-$152445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed New York Liberty45c34.16$15 inLost-$15.3713256.1%74 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Connecticut Sun62c30.96$19 inWon+$11.7337850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Connecticut Sun47c29.3$14 inWon+$15.5385158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed New York Liberty58c23.36$14 inLost-$13.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked New York Liberty55c21.65$12 inLost-$11.913444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.