WNBA · resolved market

Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8699b73cf92b9de6f8230fe1d04d8e121d2b4b895942c6ae8401813b1525fefa

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Connecticut Sunof New York Liberty, Connecticut Sun
Resolved: Jun 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $50,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $51,431

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,815 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in WNBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1117…3532backed Connecticut Sun	53c	20,651$10,874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,776.32	139	50.4%70 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked New York Liberty	46c	8,501$3,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,910.41	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked New York Liberty	47c	6,520$3,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,074.96	81	46.9%38 W · 43 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Connecticut Sun	54c	5,700$3,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,622	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed New York Liberty	48c	4,444$2,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,133.12	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty	46c	3,061$1,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,411.11	1,611	50.2%809 W · 802 L	+37.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed New York Liberty	52c	2,579$1,341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,341.07	107	49.5%53 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Connecticut Sun	53c	2,115$1,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$995.89	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	56cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked New York Liberty	48c	2,079$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	229	67.7%155 W · 74 L	+11.5wins	+0.05per pick	63cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Connecticut Sun	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.99	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun	52c	1,950$1,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$936.04	837	48.1%403 W · 434 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun	52c	1,744$902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$841.93	1,765	51.7%912 W · 853 L	+53.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed New York Liberty	48c	1,284$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.33	144	52.8%76 W · 68 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked New York Liberty	47c	1,277$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	90	47.8%43 W · 47 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed New York Liberty	47c	955.11$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.9	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-4.1wins	-0.18per pick	48cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5547…3a41backed New York Liberty	47c	903$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.41	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-2.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty	46c	854$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.24	552	55.1%304 W · 248 L	+25.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty	48c	725.4$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.45	851	58.4%497 W · 354 L	+70.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Connecticut Sun	48c	679.59$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.24	995	48.1%479 W · 516 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed New York Liberty	47c	600$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Connecticut Sun	49c	547.77$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.51	893	49.4%441 W · 452 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Connecticut Sun	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	104	45.2%47 W · 57 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed New York Liberty	52c	459.62$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239	58	62.1%36 W · 22 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed New York Liberty	46c	417.09$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.78	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed New York Liberty	48c	410.4$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.99	53	60.4%32 W · 21 L	+6.2wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Connecticut Sun	52c	400$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	96	51%49 W · 47 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Liberty	51c	396$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.96	506	46.8%237 W · 269 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed New York Liberty	48c	393.99$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.52	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	-6.9wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x19b1…83a0backed New York Liberty	47c	377.98$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.65	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed New York Liberty	48c	356$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.88	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Connecticut Sun	54c	327.65$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.76	641	52%333 W · 308 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed New York Liberty	48c	306.25$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed New York Liberty	47c	299.88$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.79	344	48%165 W · 179 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed New York Liberty	47c	265$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.55	130	24.6%32 W · 98 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Connecticut Sun	48c	240$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.8	922	48.8%450 W · 472 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed New York Liberty	48c	203.16$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.52	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8fd…3e24backed Connecticut Sun	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed New York Liberty	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	303	47.2%143 W · 160 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Liberty	48c	179.04$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.31	131	43.5%57 W · 74 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked New York Liberty	46c	173.83$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.96	133	46.6%62 W · 71 L	-9.0wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked New York Liberty	47c	147.73$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.7	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Connecticut Sun	71c	133.94$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.94	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed New York Liberty	20c	114.79$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.05	349	18.3%64 W · 285 L	-49.5wins	-0.14per pick	33cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed New York Liberty	47c	114$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.58	97	43.3%42 W · 55 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Liberty	47c	112$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.64	211	50.2%106 W · 105 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed New York Liberty	47c	106$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.82	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed New York Liberty	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+3.4wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed New York Liberty	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Connecticut Sun	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	270	49.6%134 W · 136 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba34…c745backed New York Liberty	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked New York Liberty	47c	90.1$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.35	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed New York Liberty	47c	88.5$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	132	56.1%74 W · 58 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Connecticut Sun	49c	87.19$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.47	785	48.8%383 W · 402 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Connecticut Sun	53c	77.23$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.35	106	57.5%61 W · 45 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed New York Liberty	45c	68.45$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.78	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Connecticut Sun	54c	67.96$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.26	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed New York Liberty	47c	61.45$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.88	136	49.3%67 W · 69 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked New York Liberty	48c	60.17$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.15	284	47.9%136 W · 148 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Connecticut Sun	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked New York Liberty	48c	48.76$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Connecticut Sun	52c	43$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.64	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	+9.0wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked New York Liberty	50c	42.78$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.39	90	44.4%40 W · 50 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked New York Liberty	46c	42.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.56	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Connecticut Sun	52c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Connecticut Sun	68c	40$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.8	144	50.7%73 W · 71 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed New York Liberty	32c	40$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb791…1ee6backed New York Liberty	47c	31.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…5703backed New York Liberty	48c	31.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Connecticut Sun	51c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	615	47%289 W · 326 L	-19.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d10…5c74backed New York Liberty	49c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78c2…e8b1backed New York Liberty	41c	24.79$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.22	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b7…3852backed New York Liberty	47c	24.1$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.41	24	75%18 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Connecticut Sun	46c	23.95$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.96	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked New York Liberty	52c	23.76$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.36	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed New York Liberty	47c	23.64$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.13	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed New York Liberty	52c	22.83$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.87	192	45.8%88 W · 104 L	-12.0wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked New York Liberty	52c	20.47$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	109	35.8%39 W · 70 L	-13.8wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)this page
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut SunNew York Liberty won
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 161.5Over won
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 162.5Over won
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 163.5Over won
Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)Connecticut Sun won
Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)Connecticut Sun won
Spread: New York Liberty (-14.5)Connecticut Sun won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event