TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee9d…5f41

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 51 out of 100; worst WNBA at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT3366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newport: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Caroline Dolehidebacked Caroline Dolehide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Quito: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Peter Bertranbacked Peter Bertran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cinabacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Darja Semenistajabacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.81
Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro Midonbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$5.36
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Maxim Mrvabacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+26%+$3.06
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Carole Monnetbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$7.75
Heilbronn: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Henri Squirebacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$5.03
Centurion 2: Alexander Donski vs Tuncay Duranbacked Alexander Donski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$7.72
Makarska: Petra Marcinko vs Caijsa Hennemannbacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$4.33
Tyler: Andres Martin vs Blake Ellisbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+46%+$9.62
Foggia: Varvara Lepchenko vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Tyra Caterina Grant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$3.56
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$5.54
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Johannus Mondaybacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Tyler: Henry Searle vs Mitchell Kruegerbacked Henry Searle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+51%+$5.97
Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jacopo Vasamibacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$3.93
Birmingham: Tatjana Maria vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$5.05
Birmingham: Nao Hibino vs Janice Tjenbacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+35%+$4.15
Perugia: Gonzalo Bueno vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.52
Perugia: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lorenzo Carbonibacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$4.97
Perugia: Pierluigi Basile vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Foggia: Varvara Lepchenko vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.79
Centurion 2: Luc Koenig vs Semen Pankinbacked Semen Pankin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$3.65
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$4.69
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$4.27
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$5.9
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.04
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.67
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$7.18
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$9.16
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+140.3%+$15.02
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.68
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lionsbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.52
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$11.15
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+147.7%+$17.83
All 15 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.