MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1212c4e9ce0c9fb5abd015b09f9a3dfbbd665f195f83d998ef0eb5fe0b302c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 49c | 25,984$12,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,185.69 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 7,907$3,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,992.25 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 6,254$3,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.41 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Over | 49c | 5,992$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.09 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 5,447$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.58 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 51c | 5,409$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.35 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 52c | 2,835$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.34 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 55c | 2,482$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.92 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 2,357$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.74 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 51c | 1,431$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.79 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 1,285$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.39 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 51c | 1,130$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.61 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.92 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 49c | 1,050$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 56c | 1,036$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.05 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 51c | 1,000$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.18 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 930.89$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.67 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 922.15$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 51c | 869.98$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.69 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 64c | 791.5$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.59 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 51c | 693$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.43 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 56c | 648.95$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.54 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 49c | 620$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a96…998dbacked Under | 33c | 601.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 43c | 554.75$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.54 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Over | 49c | 428.57$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.57 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 49c | 413$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.63 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 38c | 389.5$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 51c | 301.76$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 58c | 264.57$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 50c | 224$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Over | 49c | 200.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…dccabacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 66c | 199.8$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Under | 51c | 192$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 50c | 190.38$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 43c | 162.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 155$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 49c | 146.11$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 40c | 136.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 51c | 130$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 123.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 51c | 121.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 50c | 118.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf7…d90fbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 39c | 89.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 86.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 42c | 74.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 64.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 63.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 49c | 62.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 51c | 60.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 50c | 59.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 53c | 53.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Under | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 36c | 47.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 55c | 43.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38e…102cbacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Over | 49c | 42.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 56c | 41.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…5e53backed Over | 64c | 40.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 51c | 40.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 40c | 36.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0d…92e9backed Over | 66c | 35.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…5f41backed Under | 48c | 34.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 39c | 34.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Over | 49c | 28.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Over | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…9ce7backed Over | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 50c | 25.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 62c | 21.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 53c | 21.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati RedsAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.