MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8d4a17e129aa0ec3f0c2a7720189e9e19cf8b0aeac66852d7635d96e5e4919f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 24,783$13,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,870.7 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 20,520$10,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,886.17 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 13,237$6,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,616.84 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.57 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 10,131$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,481.79 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 8,798$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,795.06 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 6,350$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 5,866$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285.16 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 4,461$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.23 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 2,707$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.85 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 2,626$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.14 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 2,626$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.14 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 2,383$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.32 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 2,369$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 2,132$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.04 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 2,100$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.5 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,821$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.51 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,700$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.43 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 1,510$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.8 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 1,311$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7286…d5d0backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 1,301$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 1,110$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.49 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 1,043$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.48 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,005$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.58 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 999.97$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 857.47$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.18 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 831.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.92 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 804.83$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.65 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 719.99$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.16 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 70c | 618.87$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 579.71$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.37 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 489.29$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 348.4$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.75 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 67c | 254.05$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.84 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 249$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.95 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed Atlanta Braves | 72c | 240.89$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 224$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…5e53backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 223.66$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.56 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.8wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0d…92e9backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 215.86$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 214.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.19 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 203.02$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.63 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…e548backed Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 187.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 173.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 165.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 145.74$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 140.66$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 137$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 134$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 129.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 122.2$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 120.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 116.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 105.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Braves | 70c | 101.72$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 99.37$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 98.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 95.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 88.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 73.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 71.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 69.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 68.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 66.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…95afbacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 65.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb021…4aabbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 65.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…13c3backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 60.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 55.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 54.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 53.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 52.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375f…b494backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 51.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 47.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 46.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…0afabacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 43.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…16debacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…53bbbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…d381backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati RedsAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.