MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1693f7db49c42f2e138c4667abf62a402afaad37448445d7a43d5c1a208f1136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,147,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,427,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,147,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 662 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 599,999$267,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266,999.73 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 283,169$157,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,476.03 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8d5bbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 129,842$71,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,429.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 102,315$46,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,041.56 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,999.95 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 92,762$51,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,742.94 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 90,000$40,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,500 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 89,029$50,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,764.17 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x594d…059dbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 78,535$43,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,555.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 75,000$41,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,749.84 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 54,254$23,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,501.42 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 48,923$21,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,526.14 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 46,757$25,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,508.38 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 46,414$20,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,422.34 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 44,444$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.8 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 38,041$21,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,016.49 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 35,000$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,399.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 31,116$17,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,672.16 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,750 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 23,425$10,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,272.93 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 22,222$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 20,000$11,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,820 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 19,811$11,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,734.76 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 70c | 18,593$13,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,553.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 17,645$9,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,763.95 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 17,635$7,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,935.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 17,397$3,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,748.56 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 14,493$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,492.75 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 13,063$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,747.57 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 12,814$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.33 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 12,745$5,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,729.16 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 12,061$6,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,274.07 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…9192backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 11,497$4,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,943.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 11,110$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.43 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.99 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 9,760$5,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,191.04 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…9156backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 9,708$5,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,271.66 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 8,862$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015.63 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 8,031$4,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.65 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 72c | 7,559$5,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.46 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 7,143$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.86 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 7,000$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.98 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 77c | 6,537$5,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.7 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 6,277$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.03 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 6,054$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…64c8backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 5,863$3,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…94febacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9170…a3b7backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 5,536$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 5,500$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 5,500$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.98 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 5,438$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.69 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 5,420$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 5,155$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.92 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb459…3efdbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 5,140$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.34 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 5,000$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.98 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfc…1818backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 4,936$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 4,783$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 4,742$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.64 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 4,306$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Atlanta Braves | 73c | 4,246$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.81 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Atlanta Braves | 80c | 4,156$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.57 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 4,092$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 4,082$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.85 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Atlanta Braves | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…1ffdbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 3,912$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 3,371$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.48 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 3,159$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.63 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 3,052$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.95 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 2,952$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.89 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 2,882$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.95 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 2,820$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.28 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…ce87backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 2,798$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 3c | 2,786$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 2,674$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.8 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 2,663$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.46 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…60c0backed Atlanta Braves | 75c | 2,629$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.21 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…cf56backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 2,484$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.89 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 2,468$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.56 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…07bcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 2,444$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.11 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 2,350$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.5 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Atlanta Braves | 80c | 2,322$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.11 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 2,290$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 2,259$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.79 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 2,242$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.15 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 2,173$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.87 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 2,150$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 2,046$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.5 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 2,016$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.85 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 2,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.