TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,925

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,537 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Over38c8,025$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000.6198149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over37c6,760$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,280.5211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c3,345$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.8312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under60c3,265$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.064,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over55c2,896$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.38,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over40c2,008$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.6177951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under60c1,964$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.462,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under54c1,734$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.298943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under53c1,596$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.8868053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over40c1,530$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.029147.3%43 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under57c1,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.4924946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over53c1,200$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5645,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under60c1,063$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.7273748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over40c1,018$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.143,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c684.79$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.468,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over50c615.54$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.949,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under3c502.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.021085.6%6 W · 102 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick2cpaid+339.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2959655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under57c468$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.7692054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Under56c467.91$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26047545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c427.9$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.915,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over42c399.98$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.992,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61dd…bb24backed Over51c380.57$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.24742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Over41c370$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.348354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over65c322.2$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.086,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over47c300.94$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.48,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed Under4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12214.8%1 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+60.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over68c294.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.081,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under76c262.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013461.9%83 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9783…dccabacked Under61c258.73$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.747354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over67c235.61$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.752,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over45c225.74$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over40c224.62$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9289053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over53c205$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4472655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under44c199.97$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.495,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under35c189.4$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2999624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under57c185$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.452,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…9dbabacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over68c163.34$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2732450.9%165 W · 159 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over42c151.64$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.443,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under40c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.41,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over42c149.54$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.351,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Under33c141.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5833934.5%117 W · 222 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over39c136.4$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.275049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Under60c125$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7523051.7%119 W · 111 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Under66c113.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.916240.3%25 W · 37 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over46c105$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.112,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Over44c85$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5542550.1%213 W · 212 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under30c84.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5747743%205 W · 272 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over42c80.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.921,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under53c79.79$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2931258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Under66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032157%183 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under56c68.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3841249.5%204 W · 208 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74dd…f3c5backed Under76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011254.5%61 W · 51 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Over35c64.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.434953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3642355.6%235 W · 188 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over68c56.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a66…a5d7backed Under57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020950.2%105 W · 104 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Under79c51.9$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416066.7%40 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523244%102 W · 130 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over63c47.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.272,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over41c45.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.892,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Over37c45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.377353.9%417 W · 356 L+35.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8000…3dd3backed Under59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Under57c40.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.025743.9%25 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.81,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under56c37.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2162554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over43c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.242,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc82c…c3a0backed Under57c31.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee9d…5f41backed Over40c29.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.831560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under51c29.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1555847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Under66c27.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.369354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc9e1…ba1fbacked Under61c26.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1640%0 W · 4 L-2.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbf1c…ec86backed Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc51…674abacked Over68c22.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.289752.6%51 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8232…e71dbacked Under66c22.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.014542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5d…241cbacked Over66c22.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.663145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over68c20.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.672,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over75c19.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9766056.2%371 W · 289 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under66c17.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.531,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Under66c17.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.449339.8%37 W · 56 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Under60c16.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810759.8%64 W · 43 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Over68c16.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2225357.3%145 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over73c14.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.091,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.