TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Boston Red Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,537 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves41c8,481$3,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,999.182,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox48c8,324$4,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,015.392,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Boston Red Sox59c5,138$3,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,031.3650153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Atlanta Braves57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72060350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves44c3,552$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.994,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Atlanta Braves41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,77018241.2%75 W · 107 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox53c2,831$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.8610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves50c2,715$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.0711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox58c2,315$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.711,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Boston Red Sox59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18055052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad64…2f33backed Atlanta Braves44c1,705$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.556429.7%19 W · 45 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves66c1,527$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.218,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Boston Red Sox59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88544451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox57c1,497$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.465,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Boston Red Sox57c1,430$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.3632251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox59c1,324$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.181,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Boston Red Sox58c1,240$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.7989053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Atlanta Braves35c1,216$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.4936440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Atlanta Braves42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.174837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Boston Red Sox59c1,135$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.641,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Atlanta Braves43c1,065$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.1973748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox59c1,038$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.876,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Atlanta Braves43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57084651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Atlanta Braves41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.7113851.4%71 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves70c658.1$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.593,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves38c597.25$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.7912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Atlanta Braves41c480.49$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.4930242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Atlanta Braves42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1961351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Boston Red Sox58c476.19$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.191,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Boston Red Sox64c468.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.992,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9947…925dbacked Boston Red Sox43c375.89$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.632128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-55.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Boston Red Sox56c371.15$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.851,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x797f…f08abacked Atlanta Braves41c365.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.858050%40 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Atlanta Braves43c352.05$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.0529344.7%131 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Boston Red Sox56c339.71$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2456851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Boston Red Sox59c252.04$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.770744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc93…b91dbacked Atlanta Braves41c245.95$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.113174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.8wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+46.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox60c238$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.84,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Boston Red Sox57c225.37$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.732,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Boston Red Sox63c225$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7530647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bcc…13c3backed Atlanta Braves42c218.17$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.986445.3%29 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Atlanta Braves36c209.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.349346.2%43 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…e4a2backed Atlanta Braves41c207.32$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.327450%37 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Atlanta Braves41c190$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.119335.8%69 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Boston Red Sox63c170$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.111555.7%64 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked Boston Red Sox59c169$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7123152.8%122 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Braves69c166.27$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.955,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f03…9372backed Atlanta Braves44c163.64$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.643857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Boston Red Sox59c150.1$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.561,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fee…3d67backed Atlanta Braves44c139.82$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.55947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Boston Red Sox62c137$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.941,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox62c137$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.946,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Boston Red Sox62c129.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8023051.7%119 W · 111 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves36c121.35$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.439,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca96…06f6backed Atlanta Braves42c121.17$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.931241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Boston Red Sox56c119.49$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.912,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1074…a25dbacked Atlanta Braves60c116.52$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.613751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked Atlanta Braves43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.285349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Atlanta Braves35c114$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.11,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves43c86.58$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.768,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Atlanta Braves41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.246854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Atlanta Braves41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.272154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Atlanta Braves43c79.88$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4266448.2%320 W · 344 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Boston Red Sox59c79.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.876446.9%30 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Atlanta Braves37c77.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5799624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked Atlanta Braves43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7716345.4%74 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Boston Red Sox58c67.59$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.240341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa89…ccd2backed Boston Red Sox57c66.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3819154.5%104 W · 87 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Boston Red Sox63c60.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.222,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Boston Red Sox56c38.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.023,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Atlanta Braves41c38.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8170455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox54c37.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.356,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Atlanta Braves69c35.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.142,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eb6…d381backed Atlanta Braves43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.884035%14 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73bd…b576backed Boston Red Sox59c34.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027557.1%157 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b12…664dbacked Boston Red Sox36c33.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8232…e71dbacked Boston Red Sox43c32.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.184542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Boston Red Sox57c29.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.882,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Boston Red Sox49c28.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0740148.1%193 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Boston Red Sox58c26.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3497944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e63…6fbbbacked Boston Red Sox58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Boston Red Sox60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1544347.9%212 W · 231 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Boston Red Sox63c24.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.511,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc08c…4b12backed Boston Red Sox50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Boston Red Sox64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051656.6%292 W · 224 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06cb…8eb1backed Boston Red Sox78c14.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-40.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.