MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a78d346655d91c894d42ed6713e32b8f7301e307b3a1177ac4d169f3095b1a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 54c | 155,284$83,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,430.75 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Under | 46c | 108,790$50,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,043.25 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 46c | 60,799$28,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,013.88 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 54c | 15,857$8,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,294.28 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 46c | 8,669$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.29 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 7,650$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.02 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 54c | 7,293$3,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.37 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.97 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 54c | 2,894$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.32 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under | 50c | 2,754$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.13 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 46c | 2,385$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.99 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 46c | 2,150$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 53c | 1,851$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.95 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 55c | 1,809$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.62 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 44c | 1,809$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.87 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 47c | 1,631$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.22 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 54c | 1,546$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.42 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 53c | 1,400$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.99 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 36c | 1,328$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.12 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 49c | 1,296$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.98 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under | 66c | 1,205$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.01 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Under | 62c | 1,106$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.02 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 47c | 1,086$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.35 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 53c | 918.53$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.03 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 809.19$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.91 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 62c | 806.48$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 47c | 747.24$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.84 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 727.32$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.13 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked Over | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 54c | 599.96$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 53c | 480.72$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.94 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…1c6abacked Over | 46c | 431.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.87 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 54c | 367.51$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.19 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…e71dbacked Under | 47c | 363.29$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.85 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 54c | 342.09$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.97 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 47c | 335.26$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.69 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Under | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 273.06$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 54c | 269.35$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.59 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d989backed Under | 55c | 257.87$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 47c | 224.15$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…accbbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 194.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…60febacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 47c | 172.34$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 343 | 55.4%190 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 56c | 166.13$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 53c | 131.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 38c | 116.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 47c | 108.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9947…925dbacked Under | 37c | 108.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…812bbacked Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Over | 51c | 94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 54c | 89.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…cae4backed Over | 37c | 89.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 53c | 88.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Over | 54c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 55c | 84.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 43c | 82.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 54c | 77.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 40c | 69.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…02d9backed Under | 35c | 69.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 46c | 66.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…bd3bbacked Over | 54c | 64.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 46c | 63.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 54c | 58.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 50c | 55.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Over | 54c | 55.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 54c | 53.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 55c | 47.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Under | 68c | 44.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…ce7cbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 39c | 42.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…2dadbacked Over | 55c | 42.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Under | 48c | 41.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Under | 49c | 40.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 58c | 39.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…0c9abacked Over | 68c | 39.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 50c | 37.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7e77backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 53c | 35.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 31c | 33.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed Under | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red SoxAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 4.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-6.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.