MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73fbbe6b48a03e2ad1c3e9060a6f305b665079dccfad5046fc4819e7fb6658f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 21c | 4,950$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.96 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 79c | 2,234$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.93 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 78c | 1,063$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.94 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 643.07$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 19c | 600.77$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.62 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 73c | 527.57$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9947…925dbacked Over | 63c | 510.1$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.74 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74ec…0959backed Under | 67c | 410.54$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 37c | 316.79$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.23 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 312.06$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.69 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 44c | 262.7$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.29 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 20c | 240$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 66c | 205.85$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 158.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.83 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…7a58backed Under | 27c | 154.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c23…ed23backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 25c | 142$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 31c | 129.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over | 76c | 114$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 38c | 100.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 48c | 98.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 32c | 98.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…7c94backed Under | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 23c | 95.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 77c | 93.87$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 27c | 76.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 24c | 74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 45c | 72.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 26c | 72.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 23c | 65.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 62c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 22c | 61.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 67c | 58.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 35c | 57.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 78c | 56.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…efcbbacked Under | 32c | 45.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 29c | 45.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 66c | 41.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…3d13backed Under | 80c | 34.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Over | 54c | 22.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Over | 69c | 21.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red SoxAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 4.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-6.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.