TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,985
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,021

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,985 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b63…11a4backed Under67c5,599$3,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,758.842,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over45c3,124$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.2710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under54c2,300$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24230647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over35c1,332$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.8812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over42c1,200$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6965,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over32c1,167$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.4156851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over33c820$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.489053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over33c818.71$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.1611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Under67c741.47$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50061351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under57c701.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40029950.5%151 W · 148 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over31c559.55$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.028,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over33c533.75$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.611,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over35c457.49$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.173,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over78c449.28$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.648,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under68c404.64$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.164,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over26c402.75$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.63,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Under68c323.53$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203756.8%21 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c296.75$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.428,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Under63c284.14$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.0147545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over32c271.69$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.7575049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over53c220.01$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.852,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb035…d989backed Under47c209.66$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.541353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over35c199.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.992,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under24c176.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3699624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under65c165$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.782,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over35c158.8$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.551,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Under67c148.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over37c124.81$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.631,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6784651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4410057%57 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Under63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over36c75.65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.562,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under30c72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7247743%205 W · 272 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over52c66.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.741,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd764…ae83backed Over37c62.41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.323450%17 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over35c54.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.429,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.22,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68f4…6045backed Under62c42.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.16540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…079fbacked Under62c41.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6130%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7cee…7599backed Under62c40.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.861662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under49c39.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.396,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cbe…3bfbbacked Under62c38.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.751353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda95…34f0backed Under62c38.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.741070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4725…6253backed Under62c36.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8263…f888backed Under62c36.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.69633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-55.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x702a…d666backed Under62c35.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.311145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick67cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a02…6ed2backed Under62c34.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb16e…cff4backed Under62c34.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.45616.7%1 W · 5 L-3.2wins-0.53per pick69cpaid-78.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x18b9…06c6backed Under62c34.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d52…8ab8backed Under62c34.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc106…19a6backed Under62c34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.08560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7808…c4b1backed Under62c33.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.961258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e76…5025backed Under62c33.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.891361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1187…5e04backed Under62c33.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc815…13b7backed Under62c33.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.71353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffbe…a9e7backed Under62c32.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2730%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5992…2ad0backed Under62c32.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.211566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0359…2572backed Under62c32.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.14650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1a5…cffdbacked Under62c32.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.091361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d3…76b9backed Under62c32.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3478…8325backed Under62c32.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.951478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61a8…8539backed Under62c31.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.651172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b0d…1f81backed Under62c31.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.651850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86c2…594cbacked Under62c31.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.591464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5e…d255backed Under62c31.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd88a…0faebacked Under62c31.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.34757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3096…093cbacked Under62c31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.221369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…e021backed Under62c30.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.971163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14c7…b0c6backed Under62c30.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.971361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…443bbacked Under62c30.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.852259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…6e15backed Under62c30.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.851060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59e9…7ed8backed Under62c30.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.791040%4 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d1a…7451backed Under62c30.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.79520%1 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick69cpaid-72.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9f7…5ae3backed Under62c30.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.791154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbf…e37bbacked Under62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e4c…745bbacked Under62c29.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.291963.2%12 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6413…5093backed Under62c29.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.23425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-66.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb34d…4219backed Under62c29.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.23633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb34c…e5bebacked Under62c29.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.231250%6 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2120…50c4backed Under62c29.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.04955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick71cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1651…ddacbacked Under62c29.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc153…3f71backed Under62c28.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.96966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb4b…fd62backed Under62c28.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.73757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…ff8abacked Under62c28.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.66850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f5e…bc03backed Under62c28.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.55520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fc5…1ea2backed Under62c28.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe282…4681backed Under62c27.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.31060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4141…b90fbacked Under62c27.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.231464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03df…b587backed Under62c26.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over76c26.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.246,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d22…a206backed Under62c26.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-56.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x908b…e1a6backed Under65c23.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e32…b2fcbacked Under62c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.261560%9 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3081…ec74backed Under62c22.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.250%0 W · 5 L-3.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9792…3ee7backed Under62c22.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.36per pick65cpaid-60.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1154…c582backed Under65c22.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e08…cae4backed Under67c21.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.734443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d0…ab10backed Under62c21.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.14520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick66cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1851…8ba7backed Under62c20.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick70cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb208…e0b2backed Under63c20.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138457.1%48 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.