Tennis · resolved market
Makarska: Petra Marcinko vs Caijsa Hennemann
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc54d0ced8ff7920a5412de95739d35f55a637c1d7a50f0248da35ef144918bf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Petra Marcinkoof Petra Marcinko, Caijsa Hennemann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Caijsa Hennemann | 15c | 5,019$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.57 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Caijsa Hennemann | 10c | 2,610$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.94 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Caijsa Hennemann | 12c | 2,257$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 5c | 1,902$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Caijsa Hennemann | 11c | 1,301$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Petra Marcinko | 78c | 1,053$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.52 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Caijsa Hennemann | 23c | 969.88$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.62 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Caijsa Hennemann | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Caijsa Hennemann | 12c | 652.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 6c | 608.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Caijsa Hennemann | 19c | 598.87$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.46 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Caijsa Hennemann | 26c | 554.63$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.09 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…542dbacked Petra Marcinko | 75c | 553.64$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.41 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Caijsa Hennemann | 21c | 465.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Petra Marcinko | 76c | 441.47$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.31 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Caijsa Hennemann | 21c | 435.62$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Caijsa Hennemann | 13c | 395.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Petra Marcinko | 78c | 352.33$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Caijsa Hennemann | 20c | 336.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Caijsa Hennemann | 26c | 300.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5165backed Petra Marcinko | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Petra Marcinko | 80c | 251.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Petra Marcinko | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…5bf4backed Petra Marcinko | 78c | 245.27$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Petra Marcinko | 78c | 233.27$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed Caijsa Hennemann | 17c | 217.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Petra Marcinko | 78c | 212$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 24c | 210.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1132…5a2fbacked Petra Marcinko | 79c | 201.29$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd886…c006backed Petra Marcinko | 79c | 197.27$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Caijsa Hennemann | 9c | 176$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Petra Marcinko | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…2f2abacked Petra Marcinko | 79c | 122.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Petra Marcinko | 76c | 120.89$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441f…8954backed Caijsa Hennemann | 20c | 120.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Caijsa Hennemann | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc6…84f8backed Petra Marcinko | 73c | 114.59$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Petra Marcinko | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Caijsa Hennemann | 19c | 92.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…72f0backed Petra Marcinko | 76c | 88.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Caijsa Hennemann | 22c | 86.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Petra Marcinko | 75c | 78.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Caijsa Hennemann | 22c | 77.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Caijsa Hennemann | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Caijsa Hennemann | 21c | 74.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5928backed Caijsa Hennemann | 30c | 65.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…41dfbacked Petra Marcinko | 80c | 63.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Petra Marcinko | 78c | 63.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Petra Marcinko | 68c | 63.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…2c2bbacked Petra Marcinko | 80c | 62.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Caijsa Hennemann | 26c | 59.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Petra Marcinko | 68c | 56.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bac…37e9backed Petra Marcinko | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Caijsa Hennemann | 25c | 49.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Petra Marcinko | 78c | 46.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Petra Marcinko | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Petra Marcinko | 70c | 43.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Petra Marcinko | 72c | 41.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…d4aebacked Petra Marcinko | 79c | 38.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…8692backed Petra Marcinko | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a69fbacked Petra Marcinko | 78c | 32.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Petra Marcinko | 69c | 31.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Petra Marcinko | 78c | 30.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed Petra Marcinko | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 79 | 81%64 W · 15 L | +15.0wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0d65…bb09backed Petra Marcinko | 70c | 28.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…2250backed Petra Marcinko | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Petra Marcinko | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Petra Marcinko | 77c | 24.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Petra Marcinko | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Petra Marcinko | 65c | 22.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Petra Marcinko | 65c | 22.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc9…625cbacked Petra Marcinko | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Petra Marcinko | 63c | 18.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 347 | 29.4%102 W · 245 L | -35.6wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Petra Marcinko | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…5f41backed Petra Marcinko | 73c | 16.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…9c42backed Petra Marcinko | 70c | 16.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Petra Marcinko | 80c | 14.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87dc…a465backed Petra Marcinko | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.