TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeb90…9c42

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4573.3%33 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.24
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilicbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Warsaw: Marcelina Podlinska vs Vendula Valdmannovabacked Vendula Valdmannova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.58
ITF Gran Canaria: Laura Pigossi vs Andrea Lazaro Garciabacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquetbacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.31
Livesport Prague Open: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$3.95
ITF Vitoria-Gasteiz: Zoziya Kardava vs Kira Pavlovabacked Kira Pavlova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.91
ITF Vitoria-Gasteiz: Liv Boulard vs Justina Mikulskytebacked Justina Mikulskyte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$3.22
ITF Darmstadt: Diana Martynov vs Francesca Parcellibacked Diana Martynov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$3.99
Iasi Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Maia Ilinca Burcescubacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.52
ITF Corroios-Seixal: Rina Saigo vs Elyse Tsebacked Rina Saigo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$4
ITF Amstelveen: Antonia Stoyanov vs Victoria Allenbacked Antonia Stoyanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.88
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Mariella Thammbacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.01
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38%+$11.42
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parksbacked Tessa Brockmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$6.73
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.01
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Ilkley: Elvina Kalieva vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.25
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+120.6%+$18.02
Makarska: Petra Marcinko vs Caijsa Hennemannbacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$4.92
Prostejov: Alexander Shevchenko vs Raul Brancacciobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.51
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Krawietz/Puetz vs Burruchaga/Tirantebacked Krawietz/Puetz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.07
ITF Bol: Valentina Ivanov vs Sara Mikacabacked Valentina Ivanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.73
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)backed Coritiba FBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.