Tennis · resolved market
ITF Corroios-Seixal: Rina Saigo vs Elyse Tse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dfbd2523da022d8b1dcd5380394abe12cf6583b2bcebb6642d5474d9b527143
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rina Saigoof Rina Saigo, Elyse Tse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elyse Tse | 14c | 3,827$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.79 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Elyse Tse | 22c | 2,562$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.59 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Elyse Tse | 13c | 2,485$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.41 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elyse Tse | 12c | 1,738$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.64 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rina Saigo | 79c | 1,020$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.8 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Elyse Tse | 18c | 346.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Elyse Tse | 13c | 308$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Elyse Tse | 13c | 155.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Elyse Tse | 21c | 150.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Elyse Tse | 19c | 142.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Rina Saigo | 77c | 140.26$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Elyse Tse | 13c | 134.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Rina Saigo | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Rina Saigo | 79c | 126.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Elyse Tse | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rina Saigo | 76c | 115.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Elyse Tse | 22c | 104.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Rina Saigo | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Elyse Tse | 11c | 90$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Elyse Tse | 14c | 89.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Elyse Tse | 19c | 78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5354…9905backed Rina Saigo | 77c | 72.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Rina Saigo | 78c | 69.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Rina Saigo | 77c | 67.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Rina Saigo | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Rina Saigo | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Rina Saigo | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…9c42backed Rina Saigo | 77c | 17.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.