Asian League · resolved market
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc50831975e60b6665a0c4062af1d08ceeaf968a69b38978bf57dae0e90dcdfa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 9,433$5,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.99 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 6,934$4,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.18 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 32c | 4,370$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 40c | 4,168$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.09 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 35c | 3,936$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.33 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 24c | 1,579$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 28c | 1,043$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 45c | 797.53$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Over | 33c | 790.27$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 30c | 715.96$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.17 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 45c | 577.08$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.76 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 464.03$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Under | 66c | 299.94$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…01ffbacked Over | 35c | 289.69$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 65c | 260.79$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 16c | 205.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 37c | 199.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 70c | 188.16$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.71 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf81…81e3backed Under | 51c | 160.82$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 32c | 155.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed Under | 78c | 150.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 68c | 147.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 32c | 130$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 66c | 106.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 70c | 105.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +116%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 55c | 97.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 68c | 96.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 70c | 92.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 18c | 88.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 67c | 74.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 66c | 68.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Under | 65c | 64.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Over | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 50c | 59.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Over | 25c | 59.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d6…6492backed Under | 45c | 57.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed Under | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 69c | 51.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 67c | 51.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 41c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 31c | 45.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 69c | 45.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 64c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 34c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 68c | 38.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef51…f58dbacked Over | 36c | 36.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cef…72b2backed Under | 67c | 36.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Under | 57c | 34.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Under | 65c | 34.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…f599backed Under | 59c | 34.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 66c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 66c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 38c | 29.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed Under | 68c | 29.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Over | 70c | 27.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd7…c673backed Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 66c | 20.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed Under | 78c | 20.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 69c | 19.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Under | 69c | 17.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…9c42backed Over | 69c | 15.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 66c | 15.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…752abacked Over | 69c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5this page
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5)Tōkyō Verdy won
- Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)Kawasaki Frontale won
- Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-2.5)Kawasaki Frontale won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.