Asian League · resolved market
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x635cbd45d09e8508967adabadf4b446a1cc0ab5162c74cdcf3b11c617cd04f96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 31c | 8,118$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.29 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 4,126$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.15 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 3,031$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.66 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 51c | 2,221$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.72 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 51c | 1,672$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.76 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes | 26c | 768.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 51c | 592.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.35 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 29c | 298.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 295.29$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.98 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 249.24$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 45c | 225.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 211.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.98 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac9…14e8backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 52c | 132.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked No | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed No | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 47c | 63.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…4eadbacked Yes | 28c | 53.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 71c | 34.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked No | 69c | 33.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 71c | 29.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 74c | 29.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Yes | 49c | 28.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 48c | 24.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed No | 68c | 23.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 71c | 22.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked No | 72c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5)Tōkyō Verdy won
- Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)Kawasaki Frontale won
- Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-2.5)Kawasaki Frontale won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.