Asian League · resolved market
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a0c7816ae6badc971ddcefefba8eba7b44cb32f8f3d31a0a10a1f11af997648
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Under | 56c | 14,814$8,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,574.42 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 3,975$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.34 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 2,270$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.92 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 44c | 1,825$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 28c | 1,575$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.34 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 41c | 1,420$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.17 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 57c | 959.33$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.25 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 45c | 654.28$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.49 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 43c | 480$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 32c | 406.25$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 44c | 325$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…3630backed Over | 12c | 302.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 43c | 299.1$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.29 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 31c | 290.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 58c | 280$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 56c | 180.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 44c | 177.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 44c | 140.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Under | 79c | 139.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 132$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 44c | 127.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 125.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 56c | 125.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 48c | 116.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 44c | 106.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…1813backed Over | 17c | 83.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 46c | 77.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe503…6d7bbacked Over | 44c | 68.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 65.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 41c | 53.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 48c | 51.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 45c | 36.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Over | 44c | 36.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 53c | 35.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 67c | 35.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cef…72b2backed Over | 45c | 34.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Over | 46c | 33.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ad…9a2bbacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 42c | 30.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…752abacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 56c | 27.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa063…338fbacked Over | 45c | 26.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 53c | 26.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 48c | 25.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed Under | 59c | 25.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 63c | 23.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 46c | 22.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…eababacked Under | 60c | 18.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.30per pick | 49cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 2.5this page
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kawasaki Frontale (-1.5)Tōkyō Verdy won
- Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)Kawasaki Frontale won
- Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-2.5)Kawasaki Frontale won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.