Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfadb01e7f045fbe7275e9fa50a8a50a31649704b88049a32a0cb014cb47063e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 1,030$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.16 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 58c | 992.1$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.83 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 70c | 985.8$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.22 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 50c | 810.11$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.55 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 634.31$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.34 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 53c | 563.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 54c | 555.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 41c | 519$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.7 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e00…c1f2backed Yes | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 49c | 479.96$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.18 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 51c | 457.94$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.86 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 50c | 398.78$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.39 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 50c | 378.28$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.14 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 42c | 343$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.94 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 51c | 334.23$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.23 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 305.3$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.75 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 40c | 262.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.56 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 46c | 258.09$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.37 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…ad3dbacked Yes | 50c | 198.74$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 49c | 192.41$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 51c | 184.57$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed No | 60c | 184$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 18c | 175.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 55c | 156.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.15 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 47c | 153.13$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 52c | 150.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 59c | 137.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 49c | 133.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.88 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…edabbacked No | 25c | 128$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 27c | 117.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes | 46c | 111.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f6…eae4backed Yes | 51c | 106.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 65c | 105$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 54c | 100.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 19c | 81.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 37c | 78.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 53c | 76.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 76.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 41c | 72.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 37c | 70.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 69.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 48c | 69.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 41c | 68.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 50c | 65.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 39c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 63c | 64.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 50c | 62.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 34c | 60.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 50c | 49.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 51c | 45.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 77c | 45.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 60c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…2a5abacked Yes | 78c | 42.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 77cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 49c | 41.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…d0efbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 55c | 35.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63b…5c51backed No | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Yes | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…9c42backed Yes | 47c | 32.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 50c | 30.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 54c | 30.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…3085backed Yes | 49c | 29.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Yes | 54c | 29.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…475bbacked No | 43c | 29.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db7…e4b0backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 54c | 24.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…4d7ebacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 73c | 18.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?No won
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.