TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc5d1…edab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT7125.4%18 W · 53 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Taylor Townsend vs Iva Jovicbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.87
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$223.36
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navonebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristian Garin vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.84
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$408.81
Francavilla: Gustavo Heide vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.17
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.13
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Soon-Woo Kwonbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luciano Darderibacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.32
Santos: Murkel Dellien vs Hernan Casanovabacked Murkel Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$111.67
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+231.7%+$152.44
Francavilla: August Holmgren vs Max Schoenhausbacked Max Schoenhaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$113.28
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set 1 Winner: Altmaier vs Zverevbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Set 1 Winner: Osaka vs Lysbacked Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Potapova vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.24
Wuxi: Rio Noguchi vs Jie Cuibacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.66
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$102.38
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+183%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+242.7%+$152.9
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$26.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$124
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.