Bundesliga · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48ce1e9aeb594acf98907a73affb0c0f357c846a18ed54525ca54876408b6c39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 46c | 16,508$7,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,586.05 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 54c | 13,587$7,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 54c | 10,199$5,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,697.32 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 13c | 7,238$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.37 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 54c | 5,523$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 13c | 5,509$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.87 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 2,868$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.48 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 46c | 1,564$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.47 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 49c | 1,520$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.8 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.95 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Under | 11c | 1,300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 47c | 1,300$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 48c | 1,182$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.36 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…b3f3backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 46c | 899.21$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.02 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 62c | 702.01$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.15 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 47c | 650$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 46c | 606$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.76 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 52c | 553.24$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.56 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Over | 51c | 437.83$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.54 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Under | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 46c | 370$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 21c | 292.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe875…8492backed Under | 11c | 274.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…c99abacked Over | 54c | 237.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under | 20c | 229.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Under | 47c | 216.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 77c | 176.94$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 53c | 153$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 53c | 152.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…edabbacked Under | 24c | 141.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 138$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 23c | 136.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 76c | 130.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked Under | 16c | 123$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 19c | 117$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 21c | 116.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Under | 10c | 115$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Under | 47c | 113.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Over | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…2a14backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…f630backed Under | 49c | 106.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…a60cbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 54c | 100.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…eb2abacked Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 46c | 96.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 19c | 91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 51c | 90.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…432ebacked Under | 23c | 87.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 77c | 81.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked Under | 49c | 80.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 44c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…d5e9backed Over | 54c | 61.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 17c | 60.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 47c | 58.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 18c | 57.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 53c | 56.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 47c | 56.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 80c | 49.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 47c | 48.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 47c | 44.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…eb5cbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 49c | 30.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Over | 66c | 30.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…07c7backed Over | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 47c | 25.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 48c | 25.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 48c | 23.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 46c | 22.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1f…7b4bbacked Under | 49c | 21.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…ef64backed Under | 49c | 21.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.