Bundesliga · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde414c90ae5487d5d6f0729e64c480f0dc0ffd70c4197b8c675e92eef8cd2ff8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 9,599$6,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,306.23 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 32c | 9,096$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,211.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 24c | 6,969$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,311.97 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 41c | 5,604$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.87 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.43 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 68c | 2,321$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 42c | 1,771$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.09 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 67c | 1,529$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.85 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 53c | 1,233$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 1,218$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.6 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f3…1732backed Over | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Under | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +183.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 794.94$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.1 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Under | 47c | 788.93$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.13 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Under | 49c | 636.79$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 38c | 593$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.03 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…09d0backed Under | 67c | 573.48$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 53c | 533.94$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.77 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 43c | 520.93$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.93 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Under | 45c | 510$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 67c | 455.42$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 64c | 343.7$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.47 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Under | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Under | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 37c | 270.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.41 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 40c | 261.58$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.7 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Under | 37c | 208.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…0e51backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 79c | 191.48$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 32c | 179.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 32c | 170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 67c | 152.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Over | 44c | 149.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 78c | 144.81$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Under | 44c | 138.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 136.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Under | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 67c | 103.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Under | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3339backed Under | 42c | 99.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed Under | 57c | 99.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 31c | 97.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…defabacked Under | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa68f…7152backed Over | 77c | 95.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…bb83backed Under | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2,718.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 62c | 89.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Under | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 34c | 80.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…6960backed Over | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 42c | 76.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Under | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55b5…1ec0backed Under | 43c | 73.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 43c | 71.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Over | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 67c | 66.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 31c | 65.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…7d97backed Under | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +134%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 53c | 62.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 64c | 61.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…2decbacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 46c | 54.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 53.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 59c | 51.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 58c | 51.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 59c | 51.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 32c | 50.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 68c | 50.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 31c | 48.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 64c | 46.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…5ab3backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 61c | 44.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +8.1wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Over | 67c | 39.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…c99abacked Under | 35c | 38.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 62c | 35.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f51…43debacked Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +214.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…dcfcbacked Over | 59c | 34.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…af11backed Under | 44c | 31.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Over | 75c | 29.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 70c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…5587backed Over | 80c | 23.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 55c | 22.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…4a43backed Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 66c | 19.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.