TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Francavilla: August Holmgren vs Max Schoenhaus

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
August Holmgrenof August Holmgren, Max Schoenhaus
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,724
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,560

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,724 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Max Schoenhaus35c11,940$4,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,201.197,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Max Schoenhaus33c7,528$2,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.3454345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked August Holmgren65c6,842$4,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.356,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked August Holmgren64c5,590$3,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.1311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed August Holmgren59c2,548$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.6362956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc358…c52ebacked Max Schoenhaus31c2,118$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.492532%8 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed August Holmgren75c2,012$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.38,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed August Holmgren60c1,871$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.754,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed August Holmgren61c1,803$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.2818159.7%108 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked August Holmgren54c1,616$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.414,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed August Holmgren58c1,330$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.444,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Max Schoenhaus46c1,290$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.5422033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed August Holmgren59c1,268$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.3521244.3%94 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Max Schoenhaus42c1,242$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.351,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed August Holmgren65c1,049$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.594,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Max Schoenhaus2c1,011$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.066642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Max Schoenhaus40c1,006$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.138,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Max Schoenhaus40c927.27$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.235,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08f9…c741backed Max Schoenhaus6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504721.3%10 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Max Schoenhaus66c825$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.547956.6%271 W · 208 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Max Schoenhaus36c754.83$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.922,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed August Holmgren57c697.12$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.1273458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f8…b501backed Max Schoenhaus43c553.17$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.331553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed August Holmgren58c530.3$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.31,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked August Holmgren50c504.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.4898240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed August Holmgren60c503.76$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.761,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfcf…7ddfbacked August Holmgren58c503.48$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.4611158.6%65 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Max Schoenhaus30c480.2$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9366139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Max Schoenhaus51c479.89$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.171,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Max Schoenhaus44c459.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Max Schoenhaus53c440$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.41,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Max Schoenhaus47c419.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19647649.6%236 W · 240 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed August Holmgren55c378.7$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4258639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7c…a7dbbacked August Holmgren54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.374344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed August Holmgren62c358.23$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.888,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8431…ee9cbacked Max Schoenhaus7c356.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.262035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Max Schoenhaus44c356.52$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4453843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x052d…fcc1backed August Holmgren58c345.78$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.991457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd3…fed4backed August Holmgren73c335.23$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.237968.4%54 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d1…edabbacked Max Schoenhaus19c332.21$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637125.4%18 W · 53 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Max Schoenhaus15c330$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.529519.7%58 W · 237 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed August Holmgren75c326.67$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6733256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Max Schoenhaus43c318.58$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.156,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Max Schoenhaus48c298.6$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5380341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Max Schoenhaus37c291.58$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2613360.9%81 W · 52 L+0.6wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed August Holmgren53c287.01$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.734,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfae5…f683backed August Holmgren55c271.64$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.641844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed August Holmgren59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2425257.9%146 W · 106 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Max Schoenhaus19c250.59$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6116050.6%81 W · 79 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked August Holmgren48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13036852.7%194 W · 174 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Max Schoenhaus45c232.66$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.117,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed August Holmgren54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2294549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed August Holmgren66c214.78$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4416258.6%95 W · 67 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9283…ba85backed Max Schoenhaus42c214.29$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907338.4%28 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Max Schoenhaus47c206.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.557,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Max Schoenhaus51c202.48$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10426451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed August Holmgren59c201.69$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.691,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed August Holmgren69c200.43$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4316349.7%81 W · 82 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked August Holmgren52c190.71$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.342,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed August Holmgren54c164.43$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9350958%295 W · 214 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked August Holmgren58c161.55$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Max Schoenhaus26c156.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.253,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Max Schoenhaus37c138.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3567838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Max Schoenhaus49c119.63$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.681,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked August Holmgren55c113.54$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.541,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3626…3834backed Max Schoenhaus45c109.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.511632.8%38 W · 78 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Max Schoenhaus19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015229.6%45 W · 107 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed August Holmgren80c101$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.292674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Max Schoenhaus47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Max Schoenhaus46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Max Schoenhaus43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4339842.2%168 W · 230 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed August Holmgren74c99.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked August Holmgren53c93.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7646848.5%227 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked August Holmgren55c91.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.21,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Max Schoenhaus47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033655.1%185 W · 151 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b35…bfa7backed August Holmgren59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7528265.6%185 W · 97 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked August Holmgren54c84.07$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.911,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Max Schoenhaus29c80.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0885624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Max Schoenhaus33c77.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0774346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86ff…1d98backed August Holmgren59c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.955135.3%18 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Max Schoenhaus41c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.751,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed August Holmgren79c67.6$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0691880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Max Schoenhaus27c64.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2573549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa95…d397backed August Holmgren66c63.07$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.511457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked August Holmgren56c61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8489364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Max Schoenhaus45c60.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.273,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed August Holmgren50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3013050.8%66 W · 64 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed August Holmgren71c56.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3932937.1%122 W · 207 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed August Holmgren65c54.25$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.216365.1%41 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked August Holmgren73c54.11$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6167178.7%528 W · 143 L+49.1wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d50…b75cbacked August Holmgren63c52.47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.154141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed August Holmgren58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7238262.3%238 W · 144 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed August Holmgren68c51.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4752457.4%301 W · 223 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Max Schoenhaus30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked August Holmgren75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.588273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed August Holmgren56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Max Schoenhaus37c49.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.293,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked August Holmgren63c48.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7830672.9%223 W · 83 L+27.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed August Holmgren61c46.59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.352,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed August Holmgren49c45.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.442,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.