South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a490c6d5b59bef3261d65492028bc95bf943d8ee1374ff903b18ed356b4e8fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 4,490$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.43 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 2,004$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.07 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 30c | 1,684$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.78 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 31c | 1,032$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 1,001$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.69 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 69c | 852.8$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.44 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 24c | 847$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.28 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 27c | 704.43$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.23 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 61c | 538.9$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.23 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 519.73$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.84 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 70c | 451.95$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 66c | 340$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…edabbacked Under | 29c | 215.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +183%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 48c | 207.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 69c | 178.27$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 28c | 126.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 30c | 115.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 63c | 106.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0988…f6f9backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x550e…0840backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 28c | 85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Over | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 55c | 54.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 69c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 49c | 43.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…2ebbbacked Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf076…4079backed Over | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 67c | 39.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Over | 51c | 39.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 52c | 38.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 33c | 36.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e8…d7b7backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…cf00backed Over | 68c | 22.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 62c | 21.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 60c | 20.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…72a6backed Over | 60c | 19.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Peñarol (-2.5)CA Platense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.