South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4599df90f6b8269e4b37d39c4d1cd5437a10465569f5e9b3e572a884223829c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 3,143$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 63c | 2,960$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.7 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 64c | 1,249$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed No | 58c | 1,028$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 42c | 1,002$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.14 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 38c | 520.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.44 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 458.35$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.13 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 37c | 431.49$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.96 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…d916backed No | 61c | 300.55$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 229.73$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.81 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 40c | 225.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.05 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Yes | 37c | 219.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.59 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 68c | 218.75$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacab…4e20backed No | 32c | 218.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 60c | 196.82$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.09 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed No | 61c | 128.92$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 39c | 115.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 74c | 67.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 60c | 63.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…2decbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 39c | 41.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 60c | 36.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 70c | 18.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 64c | 17.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Peñarol (-2.5)CA Platense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.