South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc62a0aeb00b94699bbe3ee51f46ac4b7ed5ef494b9a9cd3994de21ce336a70d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 57c | 8,245$4,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.35 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 3,881$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.24 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 3,417$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.14 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 43c | 2,092$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.56 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 1,439$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.86 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 57c | 1,411$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.53 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 667.64$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.66 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 50c | 660.5$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 43c | 490.89$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.08 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 78c | 424.7$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 57c | 417.32$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.84 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Under | 43c | 358.03$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 327.69$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.61 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 43c | 309.93$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 45c | 181.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…4387backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 42c | 137.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Under | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…2ebbbacked Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Over | 56c | 63.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 38c | 56.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31fe…f3eebacked Under | 46c | 32.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…4939backed Over | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…f599backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f8…898ebacked Over | 56c | 20.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e8…d7b7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Peñarol (-2.5)CA Platense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.