TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Platense vs. CA Peñarol: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,311 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over13c3,835$503 inLost-$503.0514330.8%44 W · 99 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over13c1,500$195 inLost-$194.942317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over10c369.99$39 inLost-$38.644939.2%176 W · 273 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over20c300$60 inLost-$6011323.9%27 W · 86 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under67c149.25$100 inWon+$49.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfab3…1f0abacked Over14c92.64$13 inLost-$12.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over24c68.29$17 inLost-$16.5930858.4%180 W · 128 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e30…02a0backed Under70c64.29$45 inWon+$19.291656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Under70c20.34$14 inWon+$6.022045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.