Tennis · resolved market
ITF Amstelveen: Antonia Stoyanov vs Victoria Allen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6716b89c010792330bd6a4695e197272885e44bf829b3443be8ee546894948dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Antonia Stoyanovof Antonia Stoyanov, Victoria Allen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Antonia Stoyanov | 69c | 1,753$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.14 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Victoria Allen | 21c | 1,653$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Victoria Allen | 33c | 1,505$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.87 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Antonia Stoyanov | 79c | 1,256$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.6 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Victoria Allen | 17c | 1,100$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.59 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Victoria Allen | 33c | 742.24$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.17 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Victoria Allen | 16c | 599.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Victoria Allen | 20c | 400.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Victoria Allen | 33c | 399$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.17 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Victoria Allen | 37c | 271.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Victoria Allen | 20c | 240.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Victoria Allen | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Victoria Allen | 31c | 178.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Victoria Allen | 32c | 173.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Victoria Allen | 19c | 165.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Victoria Allen | 33c | 142.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Antonia Stoyanov | 77c | 131.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Victoria Allen | 31c | 113.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Victoria Allen | 25c | 98.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Victoria Allen | 33c | 92.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Victoria Allen | 18c | 90.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Victoria Allen | 34c | 85.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Victoria Allen | 32c | 83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Victoria Allen | 35c | 76.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Victoria Allen | 31c | 68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Victoria Allen | 26c | 64.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Antonia Stoyanov | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Victoria Allen | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Victoria Allen | 33c | 49.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Victoria Allen | 23c | 45.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Victoria Allen | 34c | 41.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Antonia Stoyanov | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Antonia Stoyanov | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Antonia Stoyanov | 64c | 39.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Victoria Allen | 33c | 30.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Antonia Stoyanov | 65c | 30.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe294…d74bbacked Antonia Stoyanov | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…9c42backed Antonia Stoyanov | 80c | 19.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Antonia Stoyanov | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…18a9backed Antonia Stoyanov | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.