South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe8cf91fd83d64f94743609bf3729eefa8e2bd36d1b023034a6e7182e0506fcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EC Vitóriaof EC Vitória, Coritiba FBC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Coritiba FBC | 67c | 6,673$4,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,471.09 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed EC Vitória | 29c | 2,625$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.25 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed EC Vitória | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked EC Vitória | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Coritiba FBC | 77c | 1,311$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.75 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed EC Vitória | 52c | 1,166$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.26 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Coritiba FBC | 52c | 1,140$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.22 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed EC Vitória | 33c | 750$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Coritiba FBC | 67c | 700$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Coritiba FBC | 38c | 588.4$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.97 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed EC Vitória | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Coritiba FBC | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed EC Vitória | 33c | 443.29$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Coritiba FBC | 49c | 326.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.47 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed EC Vitória | 33c | 325$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.75 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed EC Vitória | 33c | 325$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.75 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed EC Vitória | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked EC Vitória | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Coritiba FBC | 74c | 240$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Coritiba FBC | 67c | 236$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.12 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked EC Vitória | 33c | 225$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Coritiba FBC | 67c | 210$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed EC Vitória | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked EC Vitória | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Coritiba FBC | 76c | 179.71$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Coritiba FBC | 75c | 166$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Coritiba FBC | 75c | 166$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Coritiba FBC | 77c | 146$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Coritiba FBC | 75c | 127.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked EC Vitória | 33c | 125$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed EC Vitória | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Coritiba FBC | 51c | 98.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed EC Vitória | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed EC Vitória | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked EC Vitória | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed EC Vitória | 22c | 50.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed EC Vitória | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed EC Vitória | 72c | 41.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Coritiba FBC | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Coritiba FBC | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked EC Vitória | 61c | 30.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Coritiba FBC | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…1a0dbacked Coritiba FBC | 77c | 21.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Coritiba FBC | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…9c42backed Coritiba FBC | 78c | 17.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)this page
- EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-2.5)EC Vitória won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.