South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96ddd808b8b972f171a3197b97f5a318cf15bdd56c9c64a41ef0715e81aa9c6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 42c | 882.22$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.53 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed No | 42c | 373.69$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.95 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed No | 55c | 345.62$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.09 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 344.13$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.27 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed No | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63f…3fa7backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed No | 42c | 224.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed Yes | 62c | 164.71$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 11c | 160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked No | 11c | 160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 52c | 151.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 51c | 150$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 48c | 91.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 45c | 81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 38c | 76.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 52c | 61.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 45.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 51c | 26.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed No | 60c | 20.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x337e…a581backed No | 65c | 16.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)EC Vitória won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-2.5)EC Vitória won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.