South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d5aede685b8842195eb316ce9ccdebea65a76889930dde85b8a744fae0b7d20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Under | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 2,594$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 26c | 2,165$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.1 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.99 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 74c | 973$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.41 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 74c | 675$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 442.94$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.63 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 383.04$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.05 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 31c | 334.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Over | 53c | 330.56$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.42 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 68c | 329$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 27c | 250$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 73c | 240$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 73c | 240$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 74c | 168$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 74c | 168$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 75c | 146$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 27c | 82.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…012ebacked Under | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked Under | 20c | 72.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 52c | 61.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 50c | 44.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 65c | 39.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 47c | 37.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 74c | 36.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 74c | 32.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf7…3412backed Under | 77c | 21.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed Under | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 80c | 20.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 77c | 20.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 77c | 19.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 80c | 16.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 80c | 15.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5this page
- EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)EC Vitória won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-2.5)EC Vitória won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.