South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59adb5fefeaa4199b4db9e052abb716c480acc5509064ef7dfc8264f460a885f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4064…f741backed Under | 60c | 9,369$5,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,621.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 40c | 3,361$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.52 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Under | 59c | 2,632$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 47c | 2,440$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.82 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 78c | 1,636$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.82 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 47c | 1,500$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.75 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 40c | 1,357$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.08 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 53c | 1,118$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.54 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 20c | 1,076$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.23 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 42c | 875$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.5 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 20c | 544.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.91 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 53c | 338.87$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.03 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 40c | 338.13$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.88 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 46c | 325$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.51 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 46c | 325$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 45c | 297.14$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.31 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 55c | 290.91$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 53c | 248$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 53c | 240$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 158.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 153.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 47c | 144.57$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 79c | 104.26$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 56c | 102.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 38c | 93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 38c | 93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 91.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 78c | 83.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 81.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 48c | 78.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 41c | 78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbea…7777backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 53c | 73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 79c | 57.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 41c | 50.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…9d08backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 37c | 46.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 70c | 46.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 41c | 44.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Over | 80c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Under | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 41c | 31.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 41c | 30.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 46c | 30.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x337e…a581backed Under | 63c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bc…9ae5backed Under | 56c | 21.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5this page
- EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)EC Vitória won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-2.5)EC Vitória won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.