TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76dc…012e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wuxi: Yunchaokete Bu vs Soon-Woo Kwonbacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.1
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5)backed Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.1
Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Potapova (+1.5)backed Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$32.59
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Ann Libacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$33.95
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)backed Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$39.91
Set Handicap: Kalinina (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5)backed Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$40.1
Santos: Ryan Dickerson vs Joao Eduardo Schiesslbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$22.16
Set Handicap: Blockx (-1.5) vs Cina (+1.5)backed Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Solana Sierra vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Federica Urgesi vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Set Handicap: Vallejo (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)backed Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$34.35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+165.5%+$130.72
Set Handicap: Bonzi (-1.5) vs Svrcina (+1.5)backed Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Landaluce vs. O'Connell: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$40.33
Set Handicap: Sun (-1.5) vs Kasintseva (+1.5)backed Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.69
Set Handicap: Arango (-1.5) vs Basiletti (+1.5)backed Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Set Handicap: Kypson (-1.5) vs Jones (+1.5)backed Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Stefano Travaglia vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Set Handicap: Busta (-1.5) vs Damm (+1.5)backed Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Set Handicap: Gaubas (-1.5) vs Riedi (+1.5)backed Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$38.45
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.6
La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$36.3
Shymkent 2: Edas Butvilas vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$201.61
Shymkent 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$109.29
Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Florent Baxbacked Niels Visker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36.92
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.6
EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Grand Rapids Griffinsbacked Grand Rapids Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)backed FC Tōkyō · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$80.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.