Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4b023db355036e50db661e6f2eac10454292878188f8322cca4ecd801a5ad5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jodarof Jodar, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02d8…0c91backed Jodar | 58c | 27,916$16,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,699.64 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Borges | 43c | 13,853$6,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,008.64 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Borges | 40c | 3,326$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.4 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Borges | 38c | 2,467$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.46 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Borges | 40c | 2,400$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.84 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Borges | 42c | 1,845$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Jodar | 60c | 1,839$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.59 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | -12.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Borges | 44c | 1,651$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.23 | 378 | 49.2%186 W · 192 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Borges | 40c | 1,118$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.01 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Borges | 39c | 868.27$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.62 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Jodar | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Borges | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.58 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Borges | 40c | 438$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Borges | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 372 | 57.5%214 W · 158 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Jodar | 57c | 379.91$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.36 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e1…f9c6backed Jodar | 61c | 377.05$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Borges | 38c | 357.89$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Borges | 42c | 339.41$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.52 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Borges | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Borges | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Jodar | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 426 | 43.9%187 W · 239 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Borges | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Borges | 41c | 195.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Borges | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Borges | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…e0c9backed Jodar | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Borges | 60c | 145.55$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…ef2fbacked Borges | 40c | 133.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Borges | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 418 | 46.2%193 W · 225 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…ddedbacked Borges | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Borges | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Jodar | 63c | 96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 252 | 34.1%86 W · 166 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Borges | 43c | 93.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Borges | 41c | 87.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Borges | 47c | 85.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…012ebacked Jodar | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Borges | 42c | 81.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Borges | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Jodar | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Borges | 39c | 77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Borges | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Borges | 46c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…9148backed Jodar | 59c | 67.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Jodar | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 860 | 50.1%431 W · 429 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Jodar | 52c | 50.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…327bbacked Borges | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Borges | 44c | 44.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Jodar | 54c | 44.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…8ab7backed Jodar | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Borges | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Jodar | 61c | 30.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Borges | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)this page
- Borges vs. Jodar: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nuno Borges vs Rafael JodarRafael Jodar won
- Set 1 Winner: Borges vs JodarJodar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.