Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f9df94cbb086642a0502ec6be59586a6c658137be2ba4e6d91049a780dada2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Altmaier
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02d8…0c91backed Zverev | 76c | 24,958$18,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,990.16 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Altmaier | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Altmaier | 24c | 8,400$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Altmaier | 24c | 1,679$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Altmaier | 24c | 1,662$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.88 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Zverev | 75c | 1,000$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Altmaier | 24c | 890.16$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.52 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…012ebacked Altmaier | 24c | 821.25$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Altmaier | 24c | 727.08$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 214 | 51.4%110 W · 104 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Altmaier | 26c | 424.28$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Altmaier | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Altmaier | 24c | 414.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Zverev | 75c | 403.02$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Zverev | 77c | 324$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Altmaier | 24c | 313.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Altmaier | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Altmaier | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed Altmaier | 23c | 236.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +9.1wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Altmaier | 25c | 159.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Zverev | 76c | 156.17$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Zverev | 72c | 152.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Altmaier | 24c | 140.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…e0c9backed Zverev | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Zverev | 74c | 134$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Altmaier | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Altmaier | 24c | 116.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Zverev | 73c | 108.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 244 | 63.5%155 W · 89 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Zverev | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Altmaier | 23c | 87.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…05fcbacked Altmaier | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce6e…1256backed Altmaier | 28c | 55.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Zverev | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked Zverev | 74c | 33.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Zverev | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Zverev | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5)this page
- Altmaier vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Daniel Altmaier vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Altmaier vs ZverevZverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.