Tennis · resolved market

Ilkley: Elvina Kalieva vs Ashlyn Krueger

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb20813a57ef0a03ea16b0aa3a0ba89cd8651e88daf4b4f82eb425fe065970efd

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ashlyn Kruegerof Elvina Kalieva, Ashlyn Krueger
Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $69,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $89,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,218 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Elvina Kalieva	14c	12,914$1,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,805.66	8,828	36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L	-193.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Ashlyn Krueger	77c	7,562$5,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,749.91	937	40.6%380 W · 557 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Elvina Kalieva	4c	2,691$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.71	8,217	45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L	+166.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Elvina Kalieva	25c	2,386$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.47	1,475	35.2%519 W · 956 L	-14.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Elvina Kalieva	2c	2,382$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.82	78	11.5%9 W · 69 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	+74.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Ashlyn Krueger	72c	1,400$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392	379	44.6%169 W · 210 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Elvina Kalieva	24c	1,260$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.56	3,605	42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L	-43.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Elvina Kalieva	25c	999.98$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.99	856	34.2%293 W · 563 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Elvina Kalieva	3c	970.67$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.07	659	52.5%346 W · 313 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Ashlyn Krueger	76c	739.64$559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.43	1,227	53.2%653 W · 574 L	-5.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Elvina Kalieva	3c	713.67$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.11	3,068	57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L	+173.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Elvina Kalieva	27c	499.71$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.92	2,735	34%931 W · 1,804 L	-13.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Elvina Kalieva	12c	440.67$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.75	4,934	41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L	-77.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Ashlyn Krueger	75c	437$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.25	2,247	42.7%960 W · 1,287 L	+33.4wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Elvina Kalieva	25c	434.73$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.49	6,599	50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L	+259.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Elvina Kalieva	25c	361.44$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.84	7,724	47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L	+41.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Elvina Kalieva	24c	333.33$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	244	50.8%124 W · 120 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db0…5b69backed Elvina Kalieva	7c	330.82$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.16	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Elvina Kalieva	4c	325.48$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.96	2,854	39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L	-83.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Ashlyn Krueger	78c	312.99$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.32	1,923	55.4%1,066 W · 857 L	-44.9wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Elvina Kalieva	24c	301.95$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.47	7,049	39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L	-20.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Ashlyn Krueger	74c	286.49$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.49	392	54.1%212 W · 180 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Ashlyn Krueger	76c	259.74$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.34	1,458	54%787 W · 671 L	-33.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+64.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Ashlyn Krueger	75c	240$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	478	54.8%262 W · 216 L	+25.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Ashlyn Krueger	75c	235$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.75	371	58.8%218 W · 153 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Elvina Kalieva	26c	221.74$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.65	194	11.9%23 W · 171 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Elvina Kalieva	23c	217.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5,261	28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L	-19.4wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Elvina Kalieva	24c	217.23$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.14	538	43.5%234 W · 304 L	+9.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Ashlyn Krueger	78c	215.79$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.79	206	64.1%132 W · 74 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x890a…7623backed Ashlyn Krueger	76c	197.37$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.37	249	75.5%188 W · 61 L	+10.3wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Ashlyn Krueger	75c	133.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.22	692	53.3%369 W · 323 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6809…b188backed Ashlyn Krueger	76c	131.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	82	69.5%57 W · 25 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Elvina Kalieva	24c	125$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	678	52.1%353 W · 325 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Elvina Kalieva	22c	120.08$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.99	520	35.2%183 W · 337 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Ashlyn Krueger	74c	110$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.6	1,148	53%608 W · 540 L	+25.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Ashlyn Krueger	72c	109.71$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.72	898	59.7%536 W · 362 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Elvina Kalieva	14c	109.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.91	857	42.8%367 W · 490 L	-23.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Elvina Kalieva	23c	104.35$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	599	54.9%329 W · 270 L	+10.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe720…2bb3backed Elvina Kalieva	21c	101.18$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	76	36.8%28 W · 48 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Elvina Kalieva	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	1,725	52.2%901 W · 824 L	-8.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Elvina Kalieva	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	469	32%150 W · 319 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Ashlyn Krueger	77c	97.4$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.4	1,077	62.8%676 W · 401 L	-27.9wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Elvina Kalieva	25c	89.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.6	856	37.7%323 W · 533 L	+7.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc07…5ccabacked Elvina Kalieva	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Elvina Kalieva	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2,485	35.9%893 W · 1,592 L	-28.5wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Ashlyn Krueger	76c	79.59$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.1	1,729	48.9%845 W · 884 L	+53.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Elvina Kalieva	27c	72.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.34	5,350	56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L	+228.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Elvina Kalieva	25c	66.82$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.74	921	38.4%354 W · 567 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be0…d25cbacked Ashlyn Krueger	77c	64.94$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.94	23	78.3%18 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Elvina Kalieva	23c	62$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.38	1,107	42.8%474 W · 633 L	-20.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Elvina Kalieva	21c	58.39$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.21	8,505	42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L	-166.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…3abfbacked Elvina Kalieva	24c	54.17$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	267	34.1%91 W · 176 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Elvina Kalieva	23c	51$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.73	513	39.4%202 W · 311 L	-14.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Ashlyn Krueger	73c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	678	48.4%328 W · 350 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Ashlyn Krueger	75c	49.34$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.33	336	50.9%171 W · 165 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bfd…63bfbacked Elvina Kalieva	23c	43.48$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Elvina Kalieva	24c	42.44$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.09	846	40%338 W · 508 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Ashlyn Krueger	77c	35.16$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.09	586	65.5%384 W · 202 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Ashlyn Krueger	78c	34$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.53	6,786	48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L	+56.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Ashlyn Krueger	74c	33.78$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.78	2,274	58%1,318 W · 956 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Ashlyn Krueger	69c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	1,831	53%971 W · 860 L	-45.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb90…9c42backed Ashlyn Krueger	75c	29.01$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.25	45	73.3%33 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	68cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Ashlyn Krueger	75c	27$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.71	1,767	52.1%920 W · 847 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ad…5097backed Ashlyn Krueger	77c	21$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.73	268	68.3%183 W · 85 L	+13.1wins	+0.05per pick	63cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Ashlyn Krueger	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.1	1,250	44.7%559 W · 691 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5134…abeebacked Ashlyn Krueger	78c	19.23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.23	46	69.6%32 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	70cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e58…5bf4backed Ashlyn Krueger	76c	18.42$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.42	26	73.1%19 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	67cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb11a…a5d9backed Ashlyn Krueger	70c	15.1$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.53	127	48.8%62 W · 65 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Ilkley: Elvina Kalieva vs Ashlyn Krueger

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market