Tennis · resolved market
ITF Vitoria-Gasteiz: Zoziya Kardava vs Kira Pavlova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c04b352b6e0ec44b139791a280de475851b38f14de4b0cf335e08e1f456ee52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kira Pavlovaof Zoziya Kardava, Kira Pavlova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Zoziya Kardava | 12c | 6,190$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.83 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Zoziya Kardava | 21c | 1,049$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.4 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kira Pavlova | 79c | 797.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.58 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Zoziya Kardava | 15c | 674.11$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.52 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Zoziya Kardava | 75c | 505.96$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.41 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kira Pavlova | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kira Pavlova | 74c | 448$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.03 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Kira Pavlova | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Zoziya Kardava | 21c | 157.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Zoziya Kardava | 70c | 147.44$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Zoziya Kardava | 36c | 133.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Kira Pavlova | 31c | 96.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Zoziya Kardava | 15c | 91.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Zoziya Kardava | 21c | 84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zoziya Kardava | 33c | 82.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Zoziya Kardava | 60c | 72.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Kira Pavlova | 78c | 66.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Zoziya Kardava | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Kira Pavlova | 78c | 56.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 591 | 57.7%341 W · 250 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Kira Pavlova | 37c | 37.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Zoziya Kardava | 47c | 36.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Zoziya Kardava | 41c | 32.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Zoziya Kardava | 36c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Zoziya Kardava | 44c | 30.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Kira Pavlova | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Zoziya Kardava | 65c | 28.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 580 | 45.5%264 W · 316 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Kira Pavlova | 50c | 26.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Kira Pavlova | 70c | 20.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Kira Pavlova | 79c | 20.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 1,085 | 73.7%800 W · 285 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Kira Pavlova | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Kira Pavlova | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Kira Pavlova | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…9c42backed Kira Pavlova | 78c | 17.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.