La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid to score first vs. Málaga CF?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ced4cfcab1d3322e2f7bc3ed589b1de005e77dd3b266d5f28bfb5e1c165f8aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed No | 24c | 1,534$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…f44dbacked Yes | 76c | 938.16$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1c…6016backed Yes | 75c | 874.59$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 67c | 580.74$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.84 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…eaa2backed Yes | 74c | 514$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac44…0d3dbacked Yes | 78c | 512.88$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +94%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…d50fbacked Yes | 77c | 509$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…8858backed Yes | 74c | 504.11$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.59 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 35c | 450.51$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.14 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 23c | 450$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 25c | 346.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 25c | 343$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…2a71backed Yes | 75c | 343$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 25c | 324$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 76c | 250.62$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 22c | 227.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…9c42backed No | 31c | 107.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 24c | 91.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 145 | 25.5%37 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 72c | 39.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Yes | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid to score first vs. Málaga CF?this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Neither team to score first?No won
- Málaga CF to score first vs. Club Atlético de Madrid?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.