La Liga · resolved market
Málaga CF to score first vs. Club Atlético de Madrid?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x068976c9dacfad5c3eefe9efb81db5f28f558017a46ed4ca71875a26158d8081
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 29c | 2,079$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.19 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 18c | 1,367$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.51 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 18c | 1,159$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.64 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,107$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.9 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 75c | 529.14$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.61 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 461.94$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 442.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.18 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 324$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 16c | 156.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 132$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed No | 77c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 18c | 91.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 145 | 25.5%37 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…9f76backed Yes | 18c | 82.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed No | 72c | 33.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Málaga CF to score first vs. Club Atlético de Madrid?this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid to score first vs. Málaga CF?Yes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.