Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bol: Valentina Ivanov vs Sara Mikaca
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d6c7583fbcfc20be0c6d3f74bf4e03bf76468820f2090089035fadf492aba2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valentina Ivanovof Valentina Ivanov, Sara Mikaca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sara Mikaca | 28c | 559.95$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Valentina Ivanov | 72c | 482.69$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.07 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Valentina Ivanov | 75c | 330.25$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Valentina Ivanov | 77c | 268.18$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sara Mikaca | 24c | 261.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sara Mikaca | 24c | 257.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Valentina Ivanov | 78c | 257.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sara Mikaca | 23c | 256.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Valentina Ivanov | 76c | 234.16$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sara Mikaca | 22c | 218.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Valentina Ivanov | 75c | 162.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Sara Mikaca | 24c | 101.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Valentina Ivanov | 76c | 88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Sara Mikaca | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Valentina Ivanov | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sara Mikaca | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Sara Mikaca | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Sara Mikaca | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sara Mikaca | 23c | 49.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sara Mikaca | 29c | 41.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Valentina Ivanov | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…c08ebacked Valentina Ivanov | 78c | 30.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Valentina Ivanov | 75c | 25.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…9c42backed Valentina Ivanov | 75c | 14.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.