MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x290167c03c5067cdf6e93a874f12c272d05cec3949e47cd4284f9b9bc8511e0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Doosan Bears | 5c | 4,331$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114.45 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 5c | 2,246$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.67 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…33a1backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 735.44$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.06 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 504.95$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.52 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Doosan Bears | 5c | 480$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 420$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Doosan Bears | 4c | 321.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.83 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Doosan Bears | 6c | 305$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.75 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Doosan Bears | 4c | 283.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 281.84$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.85 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…af4ebacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 276.75$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Doosan Bears | 38c | 249.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Doosan Bears | 11c | 217.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.34 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Doosan Bears | 5c | 209.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.87 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 174.55$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 163.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 150.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.76 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 132.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Doosan Bears | 37c | 111.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Doosan Bears | 38c | 104.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Doosan Bears | 39c | 101.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…cb3abacked Samsung Lions | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Doosan Bears | 13c | 88.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Doosan Bears | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 82.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 80.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Doosan Bears | 39c | 80.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Doosan Bears | 30c | 78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Doosan Bears | 17c | 74.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 74.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Doosan Bears | 40c | 66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 65.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 60.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Doosan Bears | 29c | 55.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 49.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 45.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Doosan Bears | 36c | 43.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 43.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…5ea8backed Samsung Lions | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 40.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Doosan Bears | 39c | 37.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 37.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 26.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 26.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 25.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…5f41backed Samsung Lions | 75c | 24.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.