MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x936cc94f97f011e334f3624b3a706db3bfdbe46937e4d41b06e96b750a052cdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Baltimore Orioles, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $896,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $926,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $896,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 269,137$113,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,715 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 250,000$107,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,499.93 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 135,281$77,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,770.63 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 79,873$49,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,921.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 75,000$43,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,500 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 56,143$32,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,129.85 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 32,569$9,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,106.24 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 29,413$9,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,647.71 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 29,377$16,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,672.68 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 27,000$15,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,339.88 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 26,801$19,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,634.82 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 26,611$17,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,903.7 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 22,922$13,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,856.38 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 19,727$6,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,326.57 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 18,889$11,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,821.78 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 17,428$7,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,319.6 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 16,385$4,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,555.02 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 11,184$6,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,809.12 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 11,111$6,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.62 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 10,400$6,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 8,800$5,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,729 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 8,771$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.53 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 8,298$4,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.45 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox | 71c | 7,317$5,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.05 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 6,599$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 6,035$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595.15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 69c | 5,768$3,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.96 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 5,194$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.47 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 4,995$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.24 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 4,765$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.41 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 4,500$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 3,324$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.85 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 3,000$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 2,844$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 2,761$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.95 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 2,593$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.85 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 2,589$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.49 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 2,510$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.36 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…ce87backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 2,324$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.27 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7f…a160backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 2,241$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.38 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 2,222$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.24 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 2,045$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 2,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,948$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.64 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 1,917$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 1,778$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…ebcbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,699$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,500$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 74c | 1,401$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.76 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,375$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.25 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 69c | 1,336$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.36 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,263$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.8 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,250$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.5 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,232$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.87 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 1,177$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,164$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.31 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 1,094$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 1,068$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.62 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 999.9$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.97 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 928.32$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.8 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 920$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.6 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 892.72$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 15c | 884.47$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 879.3$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.58 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 872.65$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.51 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 850.98$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.65 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 842.15$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.28 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…5564backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 819.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 811.19$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.81 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 810$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 756$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.78 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 683.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 679.67$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.18 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 657.44$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.04 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…c130backed Baltimore Orioles | 15c | 649.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 631.58$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 619.97$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.56 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 613.59$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.29 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 581.4$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.19 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.