MLB · resolved market

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa589f2912e48bc5f51ae667f8adeba3ab51e54227e6dcadcad6214cf1886c707

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $66,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $67,344

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,345 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc3ac…b964backed Over	53c	15,199$8,055 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,143.39	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	47c	12,387$5,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,877.56	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over	53c	9,434$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,433.96	241	46.1%111 W · 130 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	47c	7,184$3,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,371.7	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400	1,078	48.1%518 W · 560 L	-13.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	47c	4,765$2,231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,533.78	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over	52c	3,488$1,814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,674.38	883	49.3%435 W · 448 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	53c	2,465$1,308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,307.71	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	48c	2,417$1,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.41	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	47c	2,205$1,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,038.55	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.99	241	50.6%122 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	47c	1,644$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.92	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	47c	1,537$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$722.18	1,586	48.5%770 W · 816 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	49c	1,514$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.05	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	52c	1,441$755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$686.02	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over	45c	1,311$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.89	912	52.4%478 W · 434 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Over	56c	1,072$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.3	227	53.3%121 W · 106 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over	54c	1,041$562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$478.69	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	58c	831.52$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.73	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under	47c	812.14$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.84	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over	53c	767.88$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.9	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under	46c	761$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.06	274	49.3%135 W · 139 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over	50c	746.53$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.28	1,083	56.3%610 W · 473 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeff3…b0ecbacked Over	52c	667.44$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.37	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Under	48c	519.99$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.6	216	53.2%115 W · 101 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over	55c	510.85$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.88	94	50%47 W · 47 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under	47c	449.04$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.05	575	51.7%297 W · 278 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Under	47c	345.74$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.5	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	55c	272$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.4	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Under	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+3.0wins	+0.19per pick	37cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Over	50c	240.73$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.36	773	53.9%417 W · 356 L	+35.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee6…fe26backed Under	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	44c	203.81$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.67	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over	31c	193.03$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.19	904	46.9%424 W · 480 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over	53c	150$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.5	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	46c	112$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.52	1,843	43.6%804 W · 1,039 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed Over	54c	111.11$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.11	97	51.5%50 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under	65c	109$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.85	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over	50c	108$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Over	31c	106.45$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.45	518	49.4%256 W · 262 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	50c	100.26$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.08	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	785	50.2%394 W · 391 L	+2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Over	53c	94$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.18	147	59.9%88 W · 59 L	+14.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	162	51.9%84 W · 78 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under	47c	85$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.17	1,056	48.3%510 W · 546 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d53…e7aabacked Over	53c	75.47$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.47	108	53.7%58 W · 50 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under	47c	72$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.84	802	55%441 W · 361 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	47c	70$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.7	2,413	49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L	+22.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under	49c	64.73$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.72	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	61c	60.7$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.46	5,812	43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L	-188.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under	47c	59.04$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.75	676	53.1%359 W · 317 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Under	46c	56.52$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	859	49.1%422 W · 437 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	45c	48.91$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.01	3,841	42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b12…664dbacked Over	41c	48.68$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.58	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under	48c	48.37$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.37	1,042	49.4%515 W · 527 L	+13.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	625	54.2%339 W · 286 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under	48c	48$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.04	258	50.4%130 W · 128 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	47c	47.15$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.32	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over	45c	46.67$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.67	278	46.8%130 W · 148 L	+10.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	49c	42.5$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over	50c	42.16$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.08	475	52.4%249 W · 226 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc57…24aebacked Over	51c	42.11$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.52	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Over	51c	38.65$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.94	191	55.5%106 W · 85 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	54c	38.08$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.52	2,995	47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L	+12.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under	47c	38$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.86	572	44.6%255 W · 317 L	-35.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over	40c	36.64$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.85	6,305	48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L	+181.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under	48c	34.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over	47c	29.57$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.53	549	51.2%281 W · 268 L	+29.7wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88fb…760ebacked Over	51c	29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.29	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef0…25b2backed Over	53c	28.3$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.3	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc08c…4b12backed Over	54c	27.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over	52c	26.62$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	597	49.9%298 W · 299 L	+19.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	45c	23.22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	875	52.7%461 W · 414 L	+9.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over	49c	23.14$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.8	582	54.3%316 W · 266 L	+16.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	47c	21.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	1,172	49.1%575 W · 597 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb208…e0b2backed Over	53c	20.75$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.75	84	57.1%48 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11c5…70e3backed Over	51c	20.06$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.83	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed Over	51c	20.06$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.75	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	465	57.2%266 W · 199 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under	74c	16.14$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.94	2,223	55.4%1,231 W · 992 L	+73.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5this page
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)Boston Red Sox won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event